Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 4.689742 5.398051 6.142096 6.978735 7.890078 8.849623 9.933171
2024-12-29 3.838558 4.857383 5.993523 7.340922 8.881867 10.576399 12.567799
2025-01-05 3.188600 4.407283 5.841845 7.623080 9.743711 12.157608 15.082591
2025-01-12 2.629214 3.961267 5.611987 7.748955 10.384189 13.472910 17.311290
2025-01-19 2.119832 3.489509 5.276304 7.683779 10.750834 14.441550 19.130897
2025-01-26 1.796505 3.208331 5.136829 7.826277 11.347005 15.675469 21.273409
2025-02-02 1.530761 2.962665 5.007086 7.950827 11.900283 16.848796 23.347989
2025-02-09 1.231633 2.616145 4.693849 7.791150 12.055894 17.505386 24.775758
2025-02-16 0.987501 2.312308 4.403628 7.628889 12.180916 18.104992 26.123273
2025-02-23 0.825051 2.115908 4.249217 7.638302 12.523339 18.978980 27.821339
2025-03-02 0.664426 1.890533 4.022306 7.518057 12.668806 19.583478 29.169480
2025-03-09 0.606630 1.852214 4.091613 7.839192 13.437709 21.027022 31.626334
2025-03-16 0.507060 1.712032 3.981459 7.884781 13.823540 21.977299 33.474582
2025-03-23 0.465995 1.691060 4.074319 8.250347 14.681956 23.586850 36.222177
2025-03-30 0.419269 1.647383 4.121293 8.541702 15.436241 25.064718 38.814281
2025-04-06 0.359079 1.556616 4.072054 8.670686 15.948411 26.212445 40.975987
2025-04-13 0.286952 1.413707 3.908071 8.596837 16.147326 26.920251 42.547395
2025-04-20 0.246366 1.345907 3.881506 8.748935 16.688816 28.114035 44.789675
2025-04-27 0.209887 1.278512 3.847394 8.882450 17.199805 29.267014 46.984111
2025-05-04 0.157969 1.138871 3.646331 8.709750 17.223377 29.717434 48.211555
2025-05-11 0.116126 1.011176 3.452598 8.534397 17.230850 30.137417 49.394596
2025-05-18 0.091185 0.935643 3.364970 8.544459 17.530316 30.982009 51.174526
2025-05-25 0.065488 0.836749 3.208541 8.414564 17.594783 31.477693 52.465529